Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.202090 0.230038 0.260032 0.294566 0.333180 0.374974 0.423582
2025-11-23 0.162315 0.199170 0.241384 0.293134 0.354677 0.425328 0.512369
2025-11-30 0.138244 0.180966 0.232698 0.299566 0.383281 0.484158 0.614404
2025-12-07 0.117480 0.163059 0.221080 0.299695 0.402668 0.532099 0.706113
2025-12-14 0.101351 0.148404 0.211087 0.299694 0.420525 0.578167 0.797749
2025-12-21 0.088739 0.136518 0.202878 0.300370 0.438233 0.624192 0.891495
2025-12-28 0.079612 0.128177 0.198255 0.304879 0.460676 0.677183 0.997225
2026-01-04 0.072806 0.122270 0.196203 0.312360 0.487214 0.736836 1.115213
2026-01-11 0.065837 0.115167 0.191441 0.315007 0.506341 0.786517 1.221335
2026-01-18 0.060518 0.109994 0.188956 0.320568 0.529742 0.843264 1.340414
2026-01-25 0.056526 0.106499 0.188648 0.329242 0.558136 0.908639 1.475477
2026-02-01 0.051180 0.100031 0.182788 0.328257 0.570888 0.950465 1.576469
2026-02-08 0.046192 0.093786 0.176959 0.327226 0.584128 0.994867 1.685825
2026-02-15 0.041702 0.087915 0.171180 0.325699 0.596288 1.038099 1.795644
2026-02-22 0.038984 0.085069 0.170449 0.332798 0.623323 1.106733 1.949881
2026-03-01 0.035600 0.080497 0.166094 0.332954 0.638201 1.155911 2.074567
2026-03-08 0.032565 0.076251 0.161905 0.332961 0.652620 1.204844 2.201064
2026-03-15 0.029936 0.072523 0.158320 0.333708 0.668239 1.256421 2.334349
2026-03-22 0.028019 0.070089 0.157031 0.338668 0.691764 1.322777 2.496100
2026-03-29 0.026594 0.068572 0.157429 0.346893 0.721793 1.401994 2.683907
2026-04-05 0.024786 0.065954 0.155284 0.349802 0.741767 1.464012 2.843943
2026-04-12 0.023413 0.064186 0.154758 0.355913 0.768210 1.538961 3.030455
2026-04-19 0.022421 0.063219 0.155860 0.365444 0.801875 1.628736 3.247790